LPEM COMMENTARY BI BOARD OF GOVERNORS’ MEETING FEBRUARY 2017

  • Surrounded by global uncertainty and accelerated inflation, we expect Bank Indonesia to hold the 7 day RRR at 4.75% at the policy meeting on Thursday. Although the Q4 economic growth slowed to 4.94% (y.o.y), below most…
    16 Feb
    16 Feb
  • Still consistent with our previous outlook, we expect 2016 GDP to grow at around 5.1% level, higher than the preceding year. This is attributable to more robust consumption growth amid low inflation. However, this growth…
    06 Feb
    06 Feb
  • In January 2017, general inflation is 0,97% (mtm) or 3,49% (yoy). Inflation in January 2017 is higher compare to inflation in January 2015 and January 2016, with deflation of 0,24% (mtm) and inflation of 0,51%. The main cause of this month inflation…
    06 Feb
    06 Feb
  • Despite annual inflation at its lowest level since 2010, at 3.02% (y.o.y) in 2016, and the need to drive economic growth, we still believe that BI needs to maintain the benchmark rate at 4.75% (y.o.y) in its first meeting in 2017.…
    19 Jan
    19 Jan
  • After cutting rate six times in 2016, BI may need to maintain the benchmark rate at 4.75% (y.o.y.) on Thursday meeting. Even with slowing GDP growth of 5.02% (y.o.y.) in Q3 2016 and still-below-target inflation, several…
    14 Dec
    14 Dec
  • In November 2016, (general) inflation is 0,47% (mtm) or 3,58% (yoy). This low inflation in November 2016 is consistent with LPEM FEBUI’s previous prediction. From seven expenditure groups, deflation occurred only…
    02 Dec
    02 Dec
  • In our Q2 and Q3 2016 outlook, we noted that the outcome of US presidential election may present significant risk to Indonesian economy, even if the odd of such risk, based on aggregated polls, is extremely low. The election…
    17 Nov
    17 Nov
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