Inflation continues to soar above the BI’s target range after the adjustment of subsidized fuels prices in early September 2022. The price level of energy and transportation sectors recorded the highest jump in September 2022 amid the persistently high global energy and food prices. The increase in price level slightly corrected the consumers’ confidence despite...Read More

Athough inflation eased in August 2022, it is still well above BI’s target range and expected to accelerate in the remaining months of 2022 following the fuel price hike. From external side, the Fed’s aggressive move on interest rate hikes, combined with external pressures, will continue to have an adverse impact on emerging markets, including...Read More

A midst a bleak outlook for global growth and elevated inflation level everywhere, Indonesia’s economy has shown a more optimistic attitude in the remainder of the year. The economy grew by 5.44% (y.o.y) in Q2-2022, better-than-expected and well above many consensus. Core inflation remained relatively benign compared to headline inflation, although we projected the trend...Read More

Despite exceeding past BI’s target, the surge in prices in June 2022 is mainly cost-push, primarily driven by price of volatile commodities. On the other hand, core inflation stood at a rather safe rate under the BI’s target. Looking at the macroeconomic indicators, economic recovery appeared to be on track, indicated by the level of...Read More

Despite rising global inflationary pressures in most countries due to soaring global food and energy prices and supply chain disruptions, domestic inflation remains under control, mainly driven by supply-side inflation underpinned by higher Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation that has been above Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation since 2020. Domestically, we are still on a...Read More

The higher consumption due to the fasting month of Ramadhan and ahead of Eid-al-Fitr celebration coupled with the soaring commodity prices during the inflationary pressures have contributed to high headline inflation in April, with the highest contribution coming from volatile and food ingredients components. In contrast, energy prices were still manageable as the GoI continued...Read More

The continuation of supply chain disruption and energy shortage as the impact of Russia and Ukraine’s conflict in various parts of the world have put pressures on the global inflation and the economic recovery process. Domestically, it has started to have impact as the inflation rate is also expected to accelerate this month like its...Read More