Economic Outlook

Category

Topik utama perekonomian Indonesia pada triwulan kedua tahun 2016 adalah pertumbuhan global yang masih lemah, perjuangan mempercepat pertumbuhan, dan tantangan diversifikasi ekspor.  Melihat kelebihan pasokan komoditas, terutama baja, minyak, dan batubara, sepanjang paruh awal tahun 2016, kami memperkirakan harga tidak akan meningkat cukup tinggi untuk meningkatkan ekspor dan pertumbuhan.
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Highlights 2016 Q1 GDP to grow at about 5.2% (yoy) and 2016 GDP to grow at 5.2-5.4% (yoy) Foreign investments led 2016 Q1 growth,consumption growth to continue at a moderate pace Current account deficit will be higher than 2015 2016 inflation to be within BI’s target, higher than 2015
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Highlights Foreign investment led Q4 2015 GDP, projected to continue in 2016 Consumption still dominates but fading Q4 2015 GDP to grow at around 4.9% (y-o-y), 2015 GDP to grow at around 4.8% (y-o-y), and 2016 GDP to grow at 5.2-5.4% 2016 inflation to be within BI’s target, higher than 2015
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After years of high commodity prices since mid-2000s and, subsequently, quantitative easing policies in developed economies on an unprecedented scale, Indonesia—along with the rest of emerging markets —became complacent and failed to enact badly-needed structural reforms.
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